To be honest, the matsuo method for pokemon eggs seems like a reasonable chance and that happens once in every like 689 or something?
I think anywhere between 1/500-800 is reasonable, considering you don't want people to be lucky enough to get them right off the bat and it sort of compensates for a tiny bit larger of a community. Especially if you're going to be adding items that drastically increase your chance in getting one you can't e too careful. Regardless of how much the item is or how hard it may be to obtain you have to be ready for a possible influx or drastic change in economy. Its been the downfall of a lot of great sites. ;-;
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